CDU/CSU's Migration Strategy Ahead of the Bundestag Elections

In the lead-up to the upcoming Bundestag elections, migration has emerged as a pivotal issue for the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU). Friedrich Merz, the party's candidate for chancellor, has outlined a comprehensive plan aimed at significantly tightening Germany's asylum and migration policies. Following recent events in Aschaffenburg, Merz is advocating for a robust five-point initiative that he intends to introduce in the Bundestag shortly.

The key elements of Merz's strategy include the implementation of permanent border controls with neighboring countries, a ban on entry for individuals lacking valid documentation, and the detention and deportation of individuals required to leave the country. Furthermore, Merz plans to enhance support for federal states in enforcing deportation orders and to establish detention facilities specifically for individuals who are subject to deportation.

In addition to these measures, the CDU/CSU is proposing immediate actions to address the ongoing migration challenges. Merz has faced criticism for suggesting that he might seek support from the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party to pass his initiatives in the Bundestag. Both the Green Party and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) have expressed their opposition to such collaborations, raising concerns about the potential erosion of barriers between the CDU/CSU and the AfD. Merz, however, has denied any intent to cooperate with the far-right party, instead seeking support from former coalition partners.

As part of the election program, the CDU/CSU devotes two pages to migration, asserting its commitment to halting illegal immigration. The party explicitly distances itself from the policies of former Chancellor Angela Merkel, acknowledging past mistakes while emphasizing lessons learned. A primary goal outlined in the program is to enforce a de facto halt on asylum applications from individuals entering Germany via other EU nations.

Additionally, the CDU/CSU proposes suspending family reunification for individuals granted subsidiary protection status. The party also advocates for the introduction of a payment card system across all federal states, which would reduce benefits for those required to leave the country. Notably, refugees from Ukraine would transition from receiving citizen's income to benefits under the Asylum Seekers' Benefits Act, with the aim of fostering their independence from state support.

The CDU/CSU's plan includes an overall increase in deportations, supported by the European Border and Coast Guard Agency (Frontex). The party envisions enhancing Frontex's authority and staffing to enable it to effectively manage border security autonomously. Additionally, the establishment of federal departure centers is proposed to streamline the deportation process, with a particular focus on individuals from Afghanistan and Syria.

The feasibility of Merz's proposals post-election remains uncertain. The CDU/CSU's legislative initiative is anticipated to be debated in the Bundestag, yet legal challenges may arise, particularly regarding the enforcement of permanent border controls due to Germany's obligations within the Schengen Area. Nevertheless, current polling indicates that the CDU/CSU, under Merz's leadership, is positioned to secure approximately 30 percent of the vote in the upcoming elections. The primary decision post-election will involve coalition negotiations, with potential partners limited to the Green Party or the SPD, as the CDU/CSU aims to maintain a clear distance from the AfD.