30-Year Mortgage Rates Hit Lowest Point Since October

Thu 14th Aug, 2025
In a promising development for potential homebuyers, the average rate for a 30-year mortgage in the United States has fallen to its lowest level in nearly ten months. According to data released by Freddie Mac, the long-term mortgage rate decreased to 6.58% this week, down from 6.63% the previous week. This rate represents a slight increase from the 6.49% average recorded a year ago. Additionally, the average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, commonly sought by homeowners looking to refinance, also saw a decline. This rate dropped to 5.71%, a reduction from last week's 5.75%. A year ago, the 15-year rate stood at 5.66%. Since early 2022, rising mortgage rates have contributed to a significant slowdown in the U.S. housing market, with home sales reaching their lowest levels in nearly three decades last year. The current decrease in rates could reinvigorate the stagnant market by boosting the purchasing power of prospective buyers. This marks the fourth consecutive week of declining mortgage rates, with the current average for a 30-year mortgage now at its lowest since October 24, when it was recorded at 6.54%. Mortgage rates are affected by various factors, including decisions made by the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates and the expectations of bond market investors concerning the economy and inflation. The primary indicator for these rates is the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond, which lenders often use to guide the pricing of home loans. As of midday Thursday, the yield was noted at 4.29%, slightly up from 4.24% the day before. The recent decrease in yield follows disappointing job market data for July, which has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may reduce its short-term interest rates next month. While a rate cut could stimulate the job market and overall economy, it may also lead to increased inflation, especially in light of tariff policies that have the potential to raise consumer prices. Economists generally anticipate that the average rate on a 30-year mortgage will remain above 6% for the remainder of the year. Forecasts from Realtor.com and Fannie Mae suggest that the average rate may ease to approximately 6.4% by year-end. Joel Berner, a senior economist at Realtor.com, noted that homebuyers who have been sidelined by high financing costs have received some encouragement in recent weeks, although it remains uncertain if this decline in rates will bring them back into the market. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported a 10.9% increase in mortgage applications last week compared to the previous week, attributed to the easing of rates. However, a significant portion of this increase stemmed from homeowners seeking to refinance their existing loans, which constituted nearly 47% of all applications and resulted in a 23% rise in refinance applications--the highest weekly total since April. Moreover, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) surged by 25%, reaching their highest level since 2022, according to data from the MBA.

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