Study Indicates Medicaid Access Cuts May Lead to Increased Mortality and Health Risks

Fri 2nd May, 2025

A recent analysis has revealed that cuts to Medicaid access could significantly worsen health outcomes, potentially leading to increased mortality rates and financial hardships for millions of Americans. Medicaid, a joint federal and state program, provides essential health insurance to individuals who cannot access coverage through their employers or other means. With approximately 70 million Americans relying on Medicaid for their health needs, any reductions could have widespread implications.

The research, conducted by experts from the Keck School of Medicine of USC, Boston University, and the University of Amsterdam, builds on previous studies to assess the potential impacts of diminishing Medicaid coverage. Published in The Lancet, the findings project that limiting Medicaid access could result in thousands of additional deaths among working-age populations, along with severe financial burdens for many others.

Medicaid plays a crucial role in financing healthcare for a significant portion of births in the United States, and contrary to common assumptions, many recipients are employed. The program is administered under various state names, such as Medi-Cal in California and MassHealth in Massachusetts, and its funding comes from both federal and state governments.

In their analysis, the researchers estimate that if 15.5 million Americans were to lose their Medicaid coverage, fatalities among individuals aged 25 to 64 could increase by as many as 14,660 annually. This figure alone would classify as the seventh leading cause of death within that age group in states that have embraced Medicaid expansion.

Furthermore, the study highlights the potential for catastrophic healthcare expenses, defined as out-of-pocket costs surpassing 30% of household income. The analysis suggests that over 600,000 additional individuals in the same age range could face such financial challenges, raising questions about their ability to contribute to society.

Additionally, the lack of insurance coverage may compel individuals to forgo necessary medical attention, exacerbating their health conditions. The researchers anticipate that a reversal of Medicaid expansion could lead to approximately 8.7 million individuals avoiding essential healthcare services. The decision to delay treatment for manageable health issues can result in deteriorating conditions and increased long-term healthcare costs.

It is also critical to consider the broader implications of reduced Medicaid funding on communities. The financial health of hospitals in underserved rural areas heavily relies on Medicaid reimbursements. Consequently, cuts to the program could jeopardize the viability of these healthcare facilities, leaving entire communities with limited access to necessary medical care.

The study's lead author emphasizes the importance of preventative care and health coverage, describing them as cost-saving measures that can yield significant long-term benefits. The researchers call for a deeper understanding of the potential repercussions of Medicaid cuts, suggesting that the true effects may extend far beyond immediate outcomes and could unfold over a decade or more.

In summary, the analysis underscores the critical role of Medicaid in maintaining public health and preventing financial hardship for millions of Americans. As policymakers contemplate changes to the program, the findings serve as a stark reminder of the potential risks associated with reducing access to this vital healthcare resource.


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