Experts Predict Complex Conclave Following the Pope's Passing

The passing of Pope Francis has initiated discussions about the upcoming papal conclave, with experts anticipating a challenging process for electing the next pope. Prominent church law scholar Thomas Schüller from the University of Münster has expressed that the conclave is likely to be drawn out and intricate due to the diverse backgrounds of the cardinals involved.

In recent years, Pope Francis appointed numerous cardinals from various parts of the globe, which has led to a more heterogeneous electorate. Schüller noted that many of these newly appointed cardinals may not conform to traditional factions, making it difficult to predict how they will align during the voting process. He highlighted that these cardinals lack experience in pre-conclave discussions, which could further complicate matters.

Schüller raised two significant questions: first, whether the reform-minded group of cardinals can unite behind a single candidate, and second, how the cardinals from regions such as Mongolia and East Timor, who may not be familiar with Roman customs, will exercise their voting rights. He expressed hope that these cardinals will feel free to choose the candidate they believe is best suited for the role.

He emphasized that one of Pope Francis's key achievements was breaking the Eurocentrism that had long dominated the Catholic Church, bringing a more global perspective to its leadership. This shift is reflected in the current composition of the College of Cardinals, which now includes representatives from a wider array of nations and cultures.

The future direction of the church, especially regarding Francis's reform initiatives, will largely depend on who is chosen as his successor. Schüller pointed out that historical precedents suggest that once a spirit of freedom is awakened within the church, it is difficult to retract. He indicated that Pope Francis has empowered the faithful, encouraging them to advocate for the marginalized and disenfranchised.

Furthermore, he characterized Pope Francis as a critical voice against elite structures, both economically and theologically. His approach has always been rooted in a commitment to pastoral care for the less fortunate, a principle that future popes will likely be judged against.