AfD Surges to Record 29 Percent in Poll, Widening Lead Over CDU/CSU

Sat 16th May, 2026

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) has achieved its highest-ever result on the national level in a recent public opinion survey, further expanding its lead over the CDU/CSU alliance. According to the latest poll conducted by the Insa Institute, the AfD now stands at 29 percent, marking a one-point increase compared to the previous week. This milestone positions the AfD seven percentage points ahead of the CDU/CSU, which has dropped to 22 percent--its lowest level recorded by Insa in over four years.

The survey also reveals shifting support among other major political parties. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) has declined by one percentage point, now garnering only 12 percent. This further weakens the combined total of the two traditional leading parties, CDU/CSU and SPD, which collectively now reach just 34 percent in voter preference.

The Green Party, on the other hand, has experienced a modest rise, reaching 14 percent. This represents the party's best showing in an Insa survey for more than two years, indicating renewed momentum. Meanwhile, The Left Party has seen its support diminish by one point, falling to 10 percent.

Smaller parties, including the Free Democratic Party (FDP) and the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), remain below the threshold required for parliamentary representation, with both polling at 3 percent. This result would leave them outside the Bundestag if a federal election were held immediately.

The outcomes of this poll are consistent with recent findings from other research organizations, which have placed the AfD between 25 and 28 percent and the CDU/CSU between 22 and 24 percent. The Insa Institute notes a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points for its survey, which was based on responses from 1,203 participants collected over the course of the preceding week.

Experts caution that public opinion polls are subject to significant variables, including fluctuating party loyalties and increasingly late decision-making by voters. As a result, poll results reflect only the sentiment at the time of the survey and should not be interpreted as definitive forecasts for actual election outcomes.

The current figures highlight a significant shift in Germany's political landscape, with the AfD consolidating its position as a leading force on the national stage. The data underscores the ongoing volatility in voter preferences and the challenges facing traditional parties as they seek to regain lost ground.

With the AfD's ascendancy, the potential for changes in coalition dynamics and policy priorities remains high, suggesting that the upcoming electoral cycles may be marked by heightened competition and unpredictability in German politics.


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